Ensemble 2 m Temperature Meteogram

Model comparison: the 2 m temperature ensemble median of each model's latest run, drawn on one axis

Each model's ensemble median (50th percentile) for its latest available run, drawn on one axis to compare the models for this city. Pick a model below for its full ensemble and run history.

Day	Daily high (°C)				Daily low (°C)
Day	ECMWF IFS	ECMWF AIFS	NOAA GEFS	DWD ICON-EU	ECMWF IFS	ECMWF AIFS	NOAA GEFS	DWD ICON-EU
Mon 31	26	23	24	25	16	16	16	17
Tue 1	23	22	23	23	15	15	15	15
Wed 2	22	22	22	23	14	13	13	13
Thu 3	23	22	22	21	15	13	14	16
Fri 4	23	22	21	21	17	17	15	17
Sat 5	21	21	19	–	14	14	13	–
Sun 6	20	21	19	–	13	12	12	–
Mon 7	24	23	23	–	14	12	13	–
Tue 8	21	22	24	–	15	13	15	–
Wed 9	20	20	19	–	14	14	15	–
Thu 10	21	19	–	–	14	13	–	–

The same comparison as numbers: each day's high and low of every model's ensemble median (50th percentile). A dash marks days past a model's forecast horizon.

Model ECMWF IFS 0.25° ensemble, model-native 3-hourly

Last updated: 2026-08-31 09:01 UTC Refreshes every hour

Ensemble median evolution: how the 2 m temperature ensemble median for each time shifted across successive model runs

How the ensemble median for each time has shifted across successive model runs, colour-coded by run initialisation time. Builds up as runs are archived.